After a very long siesta this summer, I have returned to the blogosphere. Good timing because if there is any weather to make people cranky, its a hurricane heading for the TX/LA/MS/AL/FL coast. I know, very specific in where it's heading.
This is the latest model data to Tropical Storm Isaac. I know, confusing, and clearly the models are not agreeing over where he is headed. I could go into how tropical cyclones form and move, but thats not all that interesting, and really you only want to know if you need to plan a vacation to Illinois or something next week. Well, if you take the average of the all these models, you are basically looking at what the National Hurricane Center's forecast is.
The NHC also predicts intensity, and currently, they believe he will be a Hurricane, but his strength is highly dependent on where he tracks over Hispaniola and Cuba, and how long he spends over them. His landfalls in Haiti and Cuba are also quite important to us in the U.S. because we can gather a lot more data from Isaac as he passes over land.
Personally, I think he is going to slide west some more, because he has consistently moved west the past couple days, wrecking forecasts that people have made. I am sorry that I cannot tell you how strong he will be, where he will/might make landfall, or when that occurs. I will say mid-late week in Mississippi/Alabama should be very interesting, and we should be cautious in making our plans.
One final note on TS Isaac, a couple models have him slamming into Jamaica first and then curve into Cuba, and then the U.S. This track would be very interesting, because Isaac would not travel over a lot of land to weaken him before coming into the Gulf.
You can stay up to date with Isaac via my twitter account, www.twitter.com/crankyweather, @crankyweather is the handle.
